Brazil runoff 2026: Lula vs Flávio Bolsonaro — what to know before the second round

Brazil’s presidential election is heading to an October 25 runoff between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Here’s…

Why polling averages are usually more useful than a single poll

Polling averages smooth some of the noise in individual surveys, but they are not forecasts and they are only as…

Brazil 2026 polls: Where the race stands three days before Election Day

Brazil votes on October 4. See what the latest Datafolha, Quaest, Atlas and other national polls show about the first-round…

Trump’s midterm stakes: What changes if Republicans lose the House, Senate or both

The 2026 midterms will determine how much room Donald Trump has to govern in the final two years of his term — from legislation and investigations to judges and senior…

Three years after October 7, Israel’s election is becoming a vote on responsibility, security and trust

Three years after the October 7 attack, Israel heads toward its first national election since the war with voters weighing responsibility, security and the country’s political direction.

Can Netanyahu lose power? Israel’s latest polls show a path — but coalition math is complicated

With Israel’s election just three weeks away, Benjamin Netanyahu faces a political situation very different from the one that brought his current coalition to power. The latest polling does not…

Serbia 2026: Polls disagree by more than 20 points on the state of the race

Serbia’s parliamentary election is approaching with one unusually clear feature in the polling data: there is still no consensus about who is actually ahead. Depending on the pollster, the race…

Serbia election 2026: official electoral lists

The official electoral lists proclaimed for Serbia's 25 October 2026 parliamentary election, with minority-list status and withdrawal notes.

Serbia 2026 polls: why the latest surveys tell different stories

Serbia's latest polls differ sharply. NSPM's September wave has Studentska lista at 44.4% and Ujedinjena Srbija at 41.7%, while Faktor Plus shows the reverse pattern.

Serbia election 2026 guide: parties, lists, polls and how voting works

Serbia votes on 25 October 2026. Here is how the parliamentary election works, which lists are running and what the latest national polls show.

Brazil election 2026 live results: Lula vs Flávio Bolsonaro

Follow official TSE results from Brazil’s October 4 presidential election: Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, turnout, reporting progress and runoff updates.

Bolsonaro’s Polymarket odds rose above 60%, then pulled back. What drove the swing in Brazil’s election market?

Bolsonaro’s Polymarket odds retreated after rising above 60%. Votendi examines Brazil polling, market dynamics and reports of paid promotion.

Brazil 2026 election guide: key dates and how the vote works

Brazil votes on October 4. Here is how the presidential race, congressional contests and possible second round fit together.