Ipsos Strategic Marketing

Ipsos Strategic Marketing — National Assembly

20 Oct–22 Oct 2026 · Serbia

Voting intention

Results

Sample 3,624
1 Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija
47.4%result
2 Studentska lista
40.0%result
3 Ivica Dačić – Faktor stabilnosti
3.2%result
4 Autentična desnica – dr Miloš Jovanović
1.7%result
5 Vojvodina Hungarians – SVM
1.2%result
6 Evropska Srbija
0.8%result
7 Bogoljub Karić – Pokret Snaga Srbije – BK
0.6%result
8 Rasim Ljajić – Ljudski (SDP – CDP)
0.5%result
9 Albanska koalicija – Koalicioni Shqiptar
0.3%result
10 Vladimir Gajić – Alternativa za Srbiju – Narodna stranka, Bunt – Prava Srbija
0.3%result
11 SDA Sandžaka – Čuvari Sandžaka
0.3%result
12 Usame Zukorlić (SPP) – Pokret za ujedinjenje
0.3%result
Fieldwork20 Oct–22 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 22, 2026

Notes

IPSOS official pre-election poll, fieldwork 20–22 Oct 2026 (n=3,624), published 22 Oct 2026. Commissioned by Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija electoral list (partisan sponsor). Phone interviews 90% (mobile/landline) and Ipsos online panel 10%; representative of adults resident in Serbia excluding Kosovo and Metohija and voters abroad. Reported electoral-list estimates are based on decided voters and include an assumption of 2.5% invalid ballots, so all 18 lists sum to 97.5%, not 100%. Projected voter turnout is 64.7% (95% interval 62.9–66.5%); turnout is metadata, not a party result. Official report gives a 95% confidence interval for each list. List names are linked to existing Votendi hub records; other list names abbreviated without merging distinct electoral lists. Check import preview/entity mapping and avoid duplicate import of the same Ipsos wave.

Original population description: Decided voters in Serbia excluding Kosovo and diaspora (2.5% assumed invalid ballots in estimates).

List estimates and 95% confidence intervals:
Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija: 47.4%; 95% confidence interval: 45.3–49.5%.
Ivica Dačić – Faktor stabilnosti: 3.2%; 95% confidence interval: 2.5–3.9%.
Studentska lista – Studenti pobeđuju: 40.0%; 95% confidence interval: 37.9–42.1%.
Original list name: Studentska lista – Studenti pobeđuju.
Rasim Ljajić – Ljudski (SDP – CDP): 0.5%; 95% confidence interval: 0.2–0.8%.
Vojvodina Hungarians – SVM: 1.2%; 95% confidence interval: 0.7–1.7%.
Original list name: Savez vojvođanskih Mađara – Balint Pastor.
Usame Zukorlić (SPP) – Pokret za ujedinjenje: 0.3%; 95% confidence interval: 0.1–0.5%.
Ruska stranka – Srbija u BRIKSU – Slobodan Nikolić: 0.2%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.4%.
Autentična desnica – dr Miloš Jovanović: 1.7%; 95% confidence interval: 1.1–2.3%.
Original list name: Autentična desnica – Miloš Jovanović.
Evropska Srbija: 0.8%; 95% confidence interval: 0.4–1.2%.
Original list name: Evropska Srbija – Marinika Tepić – Zdravko Ponoš.
SDA Sandžaka – Čuvari Sandžaka: 0.3%; 95% confidence interval: 0.1–0.5%.
Bogoljub Karić – Pokret Snaga Srbije – BK: 0.6%; 95% confidence interval: 0.3–0.9%.
Liberalno zelena stranka – Za slobodnu i čistiju Srbiju: 0.1%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.2%.
Biram pravdu – Biram budućnost – Koalicija Snaga – Ferid Bulić: 0.1%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.2%.
Stranka rusko-srpskog jedinstva – Rusi i Srbi braća zauvek: 0.2%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.4%.
Ćale ovo je za tebe – Petar Đurić – Premijer Srbije: 0.2%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.4%.
Vladimir Gajić – Alternativa za Srbiju – Narodna stranka, Bunt – Prava Srbija: 0.3%; 95% confidence interval: 0.1–0.5%.
Albanska koalicija – Koalicioni Shqiptar: 0.3%; 95% confidence interval: 0.1–0.5%.
Majka Srbija – Gruda: 0.1%; 95% confidence interval: 0.0–0.2%.