Emerson College — U.S. Senate — Texas

OFFICIAL DIRECT TOPLINE / INITIAL BALLOT, NOT REASSIGNED: James Talarico (D) 48%; Ken Paxton (R) 46%; Ted Brown (L) 1%; undecided 5%. This is one survey, not multiple waves. WITH UNDECIDED LEANERS, the same poll reports Talarico 49%, Paxton 48%, Brown 3%; DO NOT IMPORT AS SECOND POLL. Emerson College Polling / Nexstar Media, Texas likely voters n=1,000, fieldwork Oct 17–19, released Oct 22, 2026. Credibility interval +/-3.1 percentage points. Collection: MMS text-to-web probability-based voter panel, IVR landline, and PureSpectrum online panel; English and Spanish; weighted by gender, education and region. Confirm candidate/contest mapping and duplicate preview in Election Pulse before import, especially third-party Ted Brown. Original official results URL in source_url.