PoderData / Aya — President - Runoff

SOURCE-REPORTED VALID VOTE SHARES (not recomputed from rounded total-vote intention): Flávio Bolsonaro 51%, Lula 49%. New PoderData/Aya national presidential runoff survey, 4,000 telephone interviews in 914 municipalities across all 27 federative units, fieldwork 23-24 Oct 2026, published 25 Oct 2026 at 00:01 Brasília time by Poder360. Interviews used automated IVR/URA with mobile and landline numbers. Reported margin of error +/-1.6 percentage points at 95% confidence. PoderData/Poder360 funded the study with its own resources; Aya Bancah is a dissemination partner. TSE registration BR-02828/2026. DISTINCT new wave from the 22 Oct PoderData/Aya release (TSE BR-07926/2026, fieldwork 19-21 Oct) despite identical 51%-49% valid-vote results. Verify importer duplicate preview, link to existing PoderData / Aya pollster and President - Runoff contest, and match both candidates before import. Original population: Brazilian voters (national, 27 federative units); source-reported valid-vote share.