Quaest — President - Runoff

Original population description: Eligible Brazilian voters aged 16+ (national); source-reported valid-vote share. SOURCE-REPORTED VALID VOTES, not derived: Flavio Bolsonaro 51%, Lula 49%. Separate SOURCE-REPORTED TOTAL VOTE INTENTION: Flavio 46%, Lula 45%, blank/null 8%, don't know/no answer 1%; these categories are not added as candidate rows. Quaest national face-to-face survey commissioned by TV Globo, 3,702 eligible Brazilian voters aged 16+, fieldwork 23–24 Oct 2026, released 24 Oct 2026 at approximately 19:05 Brasilia time, reported margin of error +/-2.0 pp at 95% confidence. TSE BR-09158/2026. Officially reported valid-vote figures were rounded by the publisher; do not recalculate valid shares from rounded total-vote figures. Separate new wave from Quaest published 21 Oct 2026 (TSE BR-08535/2026, fieldwork 17–20 Oct, n=2,154). Source UOL 24 Oct 2026. Run Election Pulse duplicate preview and verify matching to Brazil presidential runoff before importing.