Instituto Colectta — President - Runoff

SOURCE-REPORTED VALID VOTE SHARES: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva 50.3%, Flavio Bolsonaro 49.7%; statistical tie given reported +/-2 percentage-point margin of error, 95% confidence. National in-person/household survey, n=3,000, conducted 23 Oct 2026 in 101 municipalities across all 27 Brazilian federative units; published 24 Oct 2026. Commissioned by Editora Brazil Economy; conducted by Instituto Colectta; TSE registration BR-05601/2026 (registered 18 Oct). SOURCE-REPORTED TOTAL-VOTE INTENTION: Lula 46.5%, Flavio 46.0%, blank/null/none 4.4%, undecided/no response 3.1% (not imported). Valid-vote shares were published by the pollster and are NOT recalculated from rounded total-vote percentages. Original source: Congresso em Foco, 24 Oct 2026; also confirmed by Transmissao Politica. Check importer duplicate/no-op preview before import.