Lazar Research — Knesset

Population: Israeli adults aged 18+ (national; includes Jewish and Arab respondents). KNESSET SEAT PROJECTIONS, NOT VOTE PERCENTAGES. sample_count=projected seats; value_pct=0 is a technical placeholder, NOT a measured vote share. Lazar Research final pre-election survey for Maariv, published 23 Oct 2026; original pollster report dated 22 Oct; fieldwork 19–22 Oct; n=1,048 Israeli adults 18+ nationally. Mode: Panel4all online panel plus telephone boosts for Haredi and Arab respondents; maximum sampling error +/-3.0 percentage points. Blocs: Netanyahu coalition 48, Zionist opposition 54, Arab parties (Joint List 9 + Ra'am 5) 14, Reservists-Economic (Hendel-Zelicha) separately 4 seats; do NOT treat the independent 4 as part of the 54. Reservists-Economic measured 3.5% vote intention and received 4 projected seats; Amcha Israel (Ofer Winter) measured 3.0% and received 0 projected seats (below 3.25% electoral threshold). Other below threshold: Haredi Public 0.9%, Noam LeYisrael 0.5%, Yisrael Beit Tzomet 0.5% (not added as new tracked entities). Undecided 5.2%; 81% said certain to vote, NOT a turnout forecast. Other opinion questions about prime minister suitability and unity government are NOT additional Knesset seat polls. Polling institute's original report: https://madad120.geva.workers.dev/sources/maariv_lazar_2026-10-22.pdf; coverage: https://www.walla.co.il/news/israel/383958572. Use importer duplicate/no-op preview; check party entity matching. Same firm as earlier Walla/Lazar polls, but distinct Oct 19–22 fieldwork wave.