RealTime Big Data

RealTime Big Data — President - Runoff

19 Oct–22 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 2,000
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
52.0%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
48.0%result
Fieldwork19 Oct–22 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 23, 2026

Notes

SOURCE-REPORTED VALID VOTES: Flavio Bolsonaro 52%; Lula 48%. Fieldwork 19-22 Oct 2026, n=2,000, phone survey, +/-2 pp, 95% confidence; TSE BR-09670/2026. Total-vote intention: Flavio 49%, Lula 45%, blank/null 5%, undecided 1% (not imported separately). Funded by the institute. Separate wave from 20 Oct release BR-02952/2026. Verified against CNN Brasil 23 Oct 2026 and CartaCapital.