PoderData / Aya — President - Runoff

SOURCE-REPORTED VALID VOTES (not all respondents): Flavio Bolsonaro 51%, Lula 49%; total-vote intention Flavio 49%, Lula 48%. Fieldwork 19-21 Oct 2026, 4,000 phone/IVR interviews in 865 municipalities across all 27 federal units, MOE +/-1.6 pp, 95% confidence. Own-funded by PoderData; Aya Bancah is a distribution partner. TSE BR-07926/2026. Separate wave from 19 Oct PoderData / Aya survey BR-02586/2026 (52%-48% valid votes). Check Election Pulse duplicate preview before import.