PoderData / Aya

PoderData / Aya — President - Runoff

16 Oct–18 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 3,000
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
52.0%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
48.0%result
Fieldwork16 Oct–18 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 19, 2026

Notes

VALID VOTES (not all respondents). Released Oct 19, 2026. Telephone IVR interviews in 695 municipalities across all 27 federal units; MOE +/-1.8 pp; 95% confidence. Own-funded, dissemination partner Aya Bancah.