AtlasIntel / Bloomberg

AtlasIntel / Bloomberg — President - Runoff

13 Oct–18 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 4,998
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
51.1%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
48.9%result
Fieldwork13 Oct–18 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 19, 2026

Notes

VALID VOTES (not all respondents): Flávio Bolsonaro 51.1%, Lula 48.9%. Online random digital recruitment Oct 13-18, 2026; 4,998 Brazilian voters aged 16+; margin of error ±1 pp, 95% confidence. Commissioned by Bloomberg; released Oct 19, 2026. TSE registration BR-02418/2026. All-respondent totals: Flávio 49.8%, Lula 47.6%, blank/null/unsure 2.6%.