Nexus

Nexus — President - Runoff

16 Oct–18 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 2,002
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
50.3%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
49.7%result
PollsterNexus
Fieldwork16 Oct–18 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 19, 2026

Notes

VALID VOTES (not all respondents): Flávio Bolsonaro 50.3%, Lula 49.7%. National telephone CATI poll conducted Oct 16-18, 2026; 2,002 voters aged 16+; margin of error ±2 pp, 95% confidence. Commissioned by Banco BTG Pactual; released Oct 19, 2026. TSE registration BR-04499/2026. All-respondent totals: Flávio 46.5%, Lula 45.9%, blank/null/neither 4.7%, undecided 2.9%.