Indexa/Broadcast

Indexa/Broadcast — President - Runoff

13 Oct–14 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 2,000
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
51.0%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
49.0%result
Fieldwork13 Oct–14 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 15, 2026

Notes

PUBLISHED VALID-VOTE SHARES: Flavio Bolsonaro 51%, Lula 49%. Original all-respondent voting intention: Flavio 44%, Lula 42%, would not vote 8%, blank/null 4%, undecided 2%. Nationwide phone interviews n=2,000; fieldwork 13-14 Oct 2026; published 15 Oct 2026; margin of error +/-2.2 pp, 95% confidence. Commissioned by Agência Estado / Broadcast; TSE BR-04629/2026. First Indexa/Broadcast runoff poll.