Ipespe

Ipespe — President - Runoff

13 Oct–15 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 1,500
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
51.2%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
48.8%result
PollsterIpespe
Fieldwork13 Oct–15 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 17, 2026

Notes

PUBLISHED VALID-VOTE SHARES: Flavio Bolsonaro 51.2%, Lula 48.8%; excludes blank/null and undecided voters. Nationwide n=1,500; fieldwork 13-15 Oct 2026; published 17 Oct 2026; margin of error +/-2.6 pp, confidence 95.45%. Ipespe/Abrapel coverage; existing Votendi pollster is Ipespe (no new alias required). Mode for this wave not independently confirmed; blank intentionally. TSE BR-00223/2026. Distinct from Ipespe 10 Oct 2026 poll BR-00933/2026.