Lazar Research / Maariv — Knesset seat poll — 2026-10-16

Projected Knesset seats out of 120, not vote percentages. All 13 above-threshold lists transcribed from Maariv article reprinted with link on Rotter, 16 October. Fieldwork and n=700 from morning editorial research brief; original page could not be fetched at verification. Treat dates/sample as pending direct primary confirmation. Blue and White 1.1%; Haredi Public 0.5%; Noam for Israel 0.5%; Tzomet Beit Israel 0.2% (below threshold; no seat rows). Netanyahu 51. No Votendi polling average or forecast. Population: Israeli adults aged 18+, including Jewish and Arab respondents (national). Bloc diagram mapping: Netanyahu bloc 51, opposition 51, Arab parties 14, other / unaligned 4. Source groupings, not coalition commitments.