Ipespe

Ipespe — President - Runoff

6 Oct–8 Oct 2026 · Brazil

Voting intention

Results

Sample 1,500
1 Flávio Bolsonaro
52.7%result
2 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
47.3%result
PollsterIpespe
Fieldwork6 Oct–8 Oct 2026
PublishedOct 10, 2026

Notes

PUBLISHED VALID-VOTE SHARES, not all-respondent percentages: Flavio Bolsonaro 52.7%; Lula 47.3%. Nationwide n=1500; fieldwork Oct 6-8, published Oct 10, 2026; random digital recruitment as reported by InfoMoney/Itatiaia; online categorization (exact interview channel not independently confirmed); stated margin of error +/-2.6 percentage points, 95.45% confidence; institute-funded; TSE registration BR-00933/2026. No all-respondent or undecided/blank split is being inferred. Source: InfoMoney, Oct 10, 2026.